As President Donald Trump’s poll numbers have hit new lows amid the Iran war, there’s now the firmest evidence yet of a long-anticipated dynamic: the regretful Trump voter.
The article is saying a measurable 13–16% slice of Trump voters now shows some regret or would change their vote, roughly double earlier levels and double Harris voters’ regret. The “5%” is the narrowest possible definition. That’s why different people are quoting different numbers from the exact same piece.
From article: “Just to underscore, these surveys suggest between 1 in 8 and 1 in 6 Trump voters express some measure of regret for their 2024 votes. Were those percentages to desert the GOP in the 2026 midterm elections, it would almost undoubtedly be a wave election for Democrats.”
But that’s great news then, right? Nothing to be worried about then, right? No reason for everyone to be mad. In 2 years, Dems win. Right?
I mean, I’ll be voting third party unless Dems choose AOC, but you all should be fine without me. Right? Hmmm…
You’re giving the average person too much credit. Majority of people are genuinely incapable of either learning a lesson or applying the lesson elsewhere. Like sure they may now see some bad results of their vote and may regret it but they’re not actually internalizing any of it, they’re not working on themselves to be less susceptible to authoritarianism or to break to down any of the bullshit they believed on the way to making that vote they “regret”.
I didn’t mean it as an attack on you or anything, was just referring to the “5% is enough to tip the vote”. These people won’t vote differently even we do get to have a halfway “normal” election.
Have you read the article? Because it’s not 5% but 16% that would vote differently:
Also 5% is more than enough to tip the results.
The article is saying a measurable 13–16% slice of Trump voters now shows some regret or would change their vote, roughly double earlier levels and double Harris voters’ regret. The “5%” is the narrowest possible definition. That’s why different people are quoting different numbers from the exact same piece.
From article: “Just to underscore, these surveys suggest between 1 in 8 and 1 in 6 Trump voters express some measure of regret for their 2024 votes. Were those percentages to desert the GOP in the 2026 midterm elections, it would almost undoubtedly be a wave election for Democrats.”
But that’s great news then, right? Nothing to be worried about then, right? No reason for everyone to be mad. In 2 years, Dems win. Right?
I mean, I’ll be voting third party unless Dems choose AOC, but you all should be fine without me. Right? Hmmm…
You’re giving the average person too much credit. Majority of people are genuinely incapable of either learning a lesson or applying the lesson elsewhere. Like sure they may now see some bad results of their vote and may regret it but they’re not actually internalizing any of it, they’re not working on themselves to be less susceptible to authoritarianism or to break to down any of the bullshit they believed on the way to making that vote they “regret”.
I’m not giving anyone any credit or arguing anything at all. I’m just stating the facts from the article.
I didn’t mean it as an attack on you or anything, was just referring to the “5% is enough to tip the vote”. These people won’t vote differently even we do get to have a halfway “normal” election.