• 2 Posts
  • 38 Comments
Joined 3 years ago
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Cake day: June 14th, 2023

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  • Listen, we can’t waste valuable political capital chasing a has-been like Donald Trump… Or JD Vance or Pete Hegseth or Steven Miller, people who will never again haunt our political system once they’ve left office.

    We need to focus on winning the War in Venezuela! And don’t forget the huge mess Trump left us with these undeported illegals. It’s time to finish the job the right way! We can do it if we all come together and agree to finally balance the budget with a few sensible cuts to Social Security and Medicare.

    This is what the people wa-

    One second. I’m being told there’s another mob of angry fascists outside the Capital Building trying to break in and lynch us, so they can install Peter Thiel as the Rightful Hier of the Eternal Christian Kingdom. We’re going to put together a focus group to see if we should stop them.

    I’ll be right back. Please remember to donate $30 for our 2030 GOTV campaign! Just click the link!!!


  • It should have been a cakewalk

    He brought in 74M votes, with a surge in fascist supporters coming from big historical swing states like Pennsylvania, Ohio, and Florida. On what planet was that going to be a cakewalk?

    Incumbency isn’t an advantage for President anymore

    That’s not true. Incumbency channels money to your campaign. The Biden/Harris warchest was bigger in 2024 than in 2020. It affords you a roadmap based on your prior victory. Harris - like Hillary before her - failed to focus her campaign in the winnable states and squandered manpower chasing red states she had no chance in.

    Biden in 2024 was then the guy to blame for everything going wrong

    2024 was a great year, economically speaking. The market was up enormously. Unemployment was low. International trade was strong in the wake of the COVID recovery. Business was booming. The inflation was - if anything - a product of the economy running too hot, as demand outstretched supply in a number of retail sectors.

    Republicans were happy enough to take credit for this prosperity at the Congressional/Gubernatorial level, then twist in their seats and condemn inflation as a uniquely Presidential sin. Democrats let them get away with it, because they were too busy covering their asses on Israel, backpedaling on the COVID response, and trying to find some kind of middle ground on the fully fabricated “transgender athletes” issue.




  • It should have been a cakewalk and he barely won.

    Biden turned out 16M more voters than Hillary Clinton four years earlier. That’s nothing to sneeze at. He still won on the margins, because Donald Trump also turned out an extra 12M voters, with a heavy 1:1 split in the same states Trump narrowly beat Hillary in a year earlier.

    I don’t think anything about that suggests the election was a cakewalk. I do think it illustrates the difference direct-mail voting has on overall US turnout. And the fact that both parties immediately retreated from the policy - with Trump even trying to ban it nationwide - says something about the real state of American Democracy both before and after the Pandemic.

    2020 is a hard election to judge precisely because it was so fucking weird. COVID cut the knees off Bernie’s primary campaign. Millions of people - particularly the elderly - were dropping dead in the lead up to the election. Misinformation was chronic. The actual elections process (which has always sucked in the US) was extra shady af, particularly in rural districts without modernized voting systems.

    But I will say that the Biden pick was a desperation move by conservative Democrats who believed they were losing control of the party. And 2024 was a repeat of this process, with the spectre of Trump 2 forcing progressive voters to choose between Genocide Joe’s last minute replacement and Actual Outright Fascism.

    Real “Douche” v “Turd Sandwich” election. But these candidates won almost entirely because of who backed them. Silicon Valley went hard for Biden in 2020 and Trump in 2024.


  • Makes sense in places like California or New York.

    California and New York are absolutely fountaining with conservative voters. These states only go blue because conservatives like Diane Feinstein and Gavin Newsom have found it easier to voice conservative policies from a liberal party than to voice liberal policies from a conservative one.

    On the flip side, Bush Jr won Texas against Anne Richards by running to her Left and pandering to Hispanics and black voters while she pounded the old Dixiecrat drum on crime and drugs. Shortly thereafter, long time Democrat Rick Perry changed parties, because he decided it was easier to get oil money as a liberal Republican than a conservative Democrat.

    Politics in this country is way more complex than people like to give it credit. So much is simply driven by the party with the most money or the most gerrymandered districts. What’s winnable can boil down to whether or not your brother is the governor, not your race or your gender or even your voting record.



  • 50% of the population cannot be reasoned with.

    Comes out closer to 27%, but the deck is so heavily stacked with Winner-Take-All elections and election manipulation through voter caging and outright fuckery a la The Brooks Brothers Riot that this cohort is heavily over-represented nationwide.

    Hoping they’ll magically not be misogynistic or that they’ll vote in their own best interest for once is a fool’s errand.

    The national punditry has so much invested in the superficial identity politics of a candidate, they can’t see whether a given individual is actually likeable. Nobody had Zohran Mamdani as a serious candidate for Mayor this time last year. Nobody had Donald Trump as a serious candidate in 2015. Even Obama’s run was largely considered a token bid for VP in late 2007.

    Underestimate candidates like AOC and Rashida Tlaib at your own peril, conservatives.